Asian bourses vie for foothold in Myanmar

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YANGON: Two of Asia’s biggest stock exchanges are fighting for dominance in the world’s hottest new frontier market as investors beat a path to Myanmar following the end of decades of military rule.

The operator of the Tokyo Stock Exchange announced last month a deal with  Myanmar’s central bank to open a stock market in the country formerly known as  Burma along with Japan’s Daiwa Securities, after years of discussions.

 
Executives from Asia’s largest bourse plan to travel to Myanmar later this  month to ink the agreement.
 
But they face competition from South Korea, whose exchange also aims to  open a stock market in the state, according to a spokesman for  Korea Exchange in Seoul.
 
Its director recently visited the capital Naypyidaw for talks with  Myanmar’s central bank governor about developing the country’s capital markets. 
But experts say the Japanese are unlikely to let the opportunity slip away.
   
“The Japanese need it more and they’ll be very, very competitive about  getting into that market,” Tony Nash, a managing director for IHS Consulting in  Singapore, told AFP.
   
He said there was a sense that the Tokyo Stock Exchange felt left out of  recent consolidation between global market operators and needed “a growth  enhancer to make them a little more attractive in terms of an exchange tie-up.”    The Japanese consortium has stolen a march on the Koreans, thanks to a  little known but 16-year-old stock market tucked away in a crumbling building  in downtown Yangon offering over-the-counter deals in two stocks.
 
The Myanmar Securities Exchange Centre, a joint venture between Daiwa’s  research arm and the government-run Myanma Economic Bank, has a skeleton staff  of about 10 and just a few customers visiting every day.
 
But it is a market minnow with big ambitions, aiming to transform itself  into a full-fledged bourse by 2015 using the technology and trading platforms  of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
 
Its low turnover is not due to a lack of interest. The two stocks listed —  a bank and a timber company, both majority-owned by the government — offered  attractive dividend yields of about 25-30 percent last year.
 
“Share trading is very tiny — there are so many buyers but no sellers,”  Myanmar Securities Exchange Centre managing director Shigeto Inami said in an  interview at the bourse’s offices, where a small board displays the day’s  prices of the two stocks printed on sheets of paper the old-fashioned way.
 
As well as interest among Burmese, foreign investors are eager not to be  left out of what could be Asia’s next big economic boom, as the European Union  and other countries start to roll back sanctions.
 
But investing in a country whose economy has been left in tatters by nearly  half a century of military rule is not without risks.
 
“Due to its location, population and resources Myanmar is the holy grail  for frontier investors, but it is still early in its reform process,” said  Douglas Clayton, founder and CEO of Cambodia-based Leopard Capital, which  specialises in emerging markets and plans to launch a Myanmar fund.
 
“There are severe capacity constraints in human resources and physical  infrastructure. Myanmar is simply not ready to absorb the tidal wave of  projects foreigners can imagine starting there,” he said.
 
Much of Myanmar’s industry is currently controlled by companies owned by  the government or their cronies, although the government’s economic reforms  could lead to increased competition from new rivals.
 
But the real goldmine — abundant oil, gas and other natural resources —  are largely dominated by foreign companies, with the exception of logging. Most  of these companies are unlikely to be listed on the local stock market.
 
Even those that are listed may not be willing to sell their shares to  overseas investors for now.
 
While there is no law against foreigners holding Myanmar stocks, taking  even a small stake means the company has to change its status to a foreign  company, leading to restrictions in areas such as land ownership, said Inami.
 
His message for prospective foreign investors?
 
“I recommend them to marry a Myanmar lady and to buy in the name of the  wife,” he said with a smile.
 
Such drastic measures may not be necessary for long, however, as the new  quasi-civilian government seeks to overhaul its antiquated laws introduced  during decades of rule by a repressive junta.
 
A new investment law, expected to be enacted later in the fiscal year,  could pave the way for more companies to list their stocks on the Myanmar  Securities Exchange, said Inami.
 
“There are so many good companies here in Myanmar but they are waiting for  the new companies act and securities exchange law,” he added.
 
Yet while investors salivate over one of Asia’s last frontier markets,  experts warn that nerves of steel may be needed.
 
“Myanmar is an incredible long term opportunity but patience and hard work  will be required. You can’t modernise a substantial nation overnight,” said  Clayton. -- AFP
   
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