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Pakatan Harapan is not failing, merely sputtering

A FAILED state or failed government is when all things cease to function — especially the rule of law. Yet, rule of law, according to the likes of classical political theorists like Thomas Hobbes, can only be enforced by “the Leviathan”, what we normally called a state. There are others, such as John Stuart Mill, and Jean Jacques Rosseau, who both argued that with or without a state to enforce the rule of law, the social contract between the citizenry is enough to maintain the collective cohesion to keep a society in tact.

As an ex-colony of the British Empire, Malaysia has the residuals of the English of Anglo Saxon system. Under the English legal system, laws are shaped and made on the basis of previous precedents, even when there is no Constitution, as is the case with the United Kingdom.

Pakatan Harapan, one must remember, inherited the best of all features above on May 9 last year. But it also inherited a kleptocratic system that emptied, if not completely, disembowelled the administrative, fiscal, financial and judicial systems wholesale.

When the laws came close to nabbing then prime minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak in July 2015, soon after the release of the report of the US Department of Justice, several investigating officers in Malaysia who were bent on doing the right thing was charged with Act 124.The latter allows the detention and arrest of anyone of up to 20 years or more for ostensibly challenging the democratically elected government.

Had Najib and the Barisan Nasional government won on May 9, the legal and police would have witnessed one of the worst infamies. Countless whistle blowers, some of whom included the likes of the current Inspector General of Police Hamid Badoor, would have been put under arrest for trying to undermine a democratically elected government.

I was not spared too. Arrested, detained, interrogated and released on a police bail for tweeting on 1MDB related issues.

The laws on Fake News, if passed, would have been used against local and foreign journalists in Malaysia, some of whom were writing in Financial Times, The Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal, South China Morning Post, and The Economists. Malaysia, in other words, was well on its way to becoming both a banana republic and a kangaroo court.

But Malaysia was saved from the precipice of both kleptocracy, kakistocracy, and more importantly, an aristocracy that has gone amok. Only the rules and orders from the top were right. All others were wrong. In that vein only Najib and his wife constituted the first and final voice on all issues. Little wonder the natural transition of Najib, after his fall, was a social media blitz that tried to challenge the opinions of all Malaysians and non-Malaysian who were sick of his denials and lies. The outcome ? “Malu Apa Bossku ?” a PR campaign that was meant to appeal to the B40, hoping that this group of impoverished people, would take a liking to the prospect of gravitating to the infamous duo, in exchange for financial returns.

Come what may, Malaysia under Pakatan Harapan has not become a failed state. It is one that has internalised and imported some of the dysfunctionalities of the Najib regime, but it has not failed abjectly and abysmally.

There are three reasons. First of all, even if Bursa Malaysia is one of the non-performers in Asia, one has to contend with the fact that Malaysia is a trade dependent exporting country. When the United States and China are in the thick of a high tech-trade war, the repercussions on the semi conductor industries in Penang Duty Free Export Zone, are bound to be direct. Stocks cannot perform when Washington and Beijing are in a head butt. All Malaysia can do is watch and hope to be spared from the more deleterious effects of a major trade war.

Secondly, Malaysia cannot be expected to jump like a proverbial spring bok, even if Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir is bent on transforming the country into Asian Tiger once again. Since 2003-2018, at least two prime ministers have “mal”-performed. That's a lot of cobwebs and vested interest to be cleared.

Thirdly, Malaysia cannot perform well, precisely because the previous administration has willy-nilly locked Malaysia into an unfair contracts, such as those in ECRL. If Malaysia withdraws from the contract, punitive charges by the billions of Malaysian ringgit would be imposed. When they do, especially if Malaysia cannot pay the RM1.2 trillion debt, our ratings across Fitch, Moody's and Standard and Poor's will take a severe beating.

Malaysia is not falling. Nor is it failing. It is trying to piece up the pieces of the previous administrations. A failed state is when the cost of living is not merely escalating.

The writer is president/CEO of EMIR Research, an independent think tank who believes in research-based outcome, without fear or favour.

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