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A rude awakening for Indo-Pacific

CHINA'S rise is the foremost concern that has pervaded American policymakers over fear of being overtaken by an Asian country.

Washington's paranoia under United States President Joe Biden clambered up with his secretary of state, Anthony Blinken, to tag the world's second largest economy as "the biggest geopolitical test of the 21st century".

The Biden administration's China policy is ladened with confusion as it idealistically seeks to cooperate and compete with, and confront Beijing simultaneously.

The dicey modus operandi was put in a nutshell by Blinken last year, who said: "Our relationship with China will be competitive when it should be, collaborative when it can be and adversarial when it must be."

So far, the US president's strategy towards China has varied little from his predecessor, pushing his aides in an awkward position and making them justify his diplomatic gaffes.

In a scathing comment last October, Biden vowed to defend Taiwan in the event of a conflict.

The White House rushed in to dial back what signalled a shift, from "strategic ambiguity" to "strategic clarity", in the longstanding US One-China policy.

During Donald Trump's presidency, the then US secretary of state Mike Pompeo unequivocally called for a regime change in China by inducing the Chinese people against their government.

Worries hanging around the possibility of an armed conflict forced the then US Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman Mark Milley to phone his Chinese counterpart twice to avert such a tragedy.

Biden's reckless comment, that the US would intervene militarily if China were to reunify Taiwan by force, again set off panic among his national security aides over "significant downsides" of the potential shift.

Once again, the White House had to cover things up, stating that there is no change in America's One-China policy.

After the Ukraine crisis briefly arrested the US's overriding ambition, the Biden administration is refocusing on the Indo-Pacific to infect the region with America's grim syndrome of containing China.

The course Washington has picked to reach the goal is even more dangerous because the threat directly collides with the sovereignty of a major world military and economic power, and it undermines the region's security and economic interests as well.

At his first stop in Seoul, from where Biden kicked off his maiden trip to Asia as the US president, South Korean President Yoon Suck-yeol agreed to cooperate on his Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) given it is based on the "principles of openness, transparency and inclusiveness".

Yoon's advisers looked cautious, indicating that the joint statement and the IPEF didn't exclude any country.

The new South Korean government's guarded tone vis-à-vis China expresses a desire to pose the country as a "global pivot state" and shield Seoul's economic relationship with its top trading partner.

Yet it remains to be seen how Yoon will thread the needle as he tries to preserve peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and develop partnership with China "through qualitative and quantitative economic cooperation" in the face of the US efforts to build an "Asian Nato".

Japan, meanwhile, is adding some spice to the hawkish US agenda.

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and Biden, in a joint statement, called on China to condemn Russia's actions in Ukraine, but both shilly-shallied to set forth this demand to their Quad ally, India, which is yet to lament Russia.

Bizarrely, they "requested" Beijing to reduce nuclear risks and advance nuclear disarmament, while blaming it for "coercion by economic and other means" and undertaking "coercive activities" in the South China Sea.

Kishida welcomed the IPEF and hoped for the return of the US to the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a deal Trump withdrew from, which eventually became the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership.

But former Japanese officials are telling Biden to "forget about it" as the framework lacked hard commitments and could collapse like the TPP.

Japan and South Korea are two of the US's close allies but are bitter rivals, another daunting challenge for Biden as both seek to draw nearer to Washington.

A myriad challenges make Biden's effort to hyperfocus on China broadly or specifically, as well as stepping up the contest with Beijing, difficult to achieve.

Given the disaster-prone strategy will have drastic consequences for regional peace and prosperity and the international economy, some regional states would reconsider a thousand times before placing blind trust in the US.

The Ukraine crisis reminds them how abruptly military alliances such as Nato can upend regional stability and blow up the global economy.

Over growing unease within allies about regional disturbance that will eventually lead to economic turmoil, Biden reassures the US "(One-China) policy hasn't changed at all".

But his recurrent statements tell a completely different story: he's geared up to risk peace and stability of the Indo-Pacific for regional domination.

This could be a rude awakening for US partners, believing it can provide them security guarantee and economic boom.

The writer is a private professional and writes on geopolitical issues and regional conflicts

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